Downturn in Nonresidential Construction Spending for July
Key Highlights
- Nonresidential construction spending decreased by 0.2% in July, totaling $1.24 trillion annually
- Private nonresidential spending declined 0.5%, while public sector spending increased slightly by 0.3%
- Rising tariffs and material costs are contributing to project cancellations and delays across the industry
WASHINGTON, DC — National nonresidential construction spending decreased 0.2% in July, according to an Associated Builders and Contractors analysis of data published by the US Census Bureau. On a seasonally adjusted annualized basis, nonresidential spending totaled $1.24 trillion.
“Nonresidential construction spending fell for a third consecutive month in July and is now down 2.5% from the December 2023 record high,” said ABC Chief Economist Anirban Basu. “Of course, that’s in nominal terms. With construction materials prices rising rapidly in recent months and set to continue as higher tariff rates go into effect, the recent decline in construction activity is even larger than this data series suggests."
Spending was down on a monthly basis in 7 of the 16 nonresidential subcategories. Private nonresidential spending was down 0.5%, while public nonresidential construction spending was up 0.3% in July.
“Private nonresidential activity has declined at a particularly concerning pace over the past several months and fell another 0.5% in July,” said Basu. “With the exception of the religious category, which represents less than 1% of private nonresidential construction activity, and the power category, which is surging due to data centers and their considerable energy needs, no private subsegment has retained momentum through the first half of 2025.
“Nearly 1 in 4 ABC members reported having a project interrupted or canceled due to tariffs in July, according to ABC’s Construction Backlog Indicator survey, and that predates the particularly large import tax increases put into effect in early August,” said Basu. “With economic uncertainty still elevated, labor shortages reemerging and materials prices rising, it may be a bleak second half of the year for the construction industry.”
Visit abc.org/economics for the Construction Backlog Indicator and Construction Confidence Index, plus analysis of spending, employment, job openings and the Producer Price Index.